Crisis in Ukraine: Aeroflot flight movements drop by 20%

LONDON – According to data from RadarBox.comAeroflot’s flight movements based on a seven-day moving average fell by more than 20%.

As the carrier continues to struggle to operate in other destinations around the world, Aeroflot has had to double down on its domestic destinations as well as the select few it operates internationally.

Without further ado, let’s get to the numbers…

Numbers…


Data provided by RadarBox.com

From October 1 to 8, 2022, the carrier recorded 397 movements, a sharp drop of 22.91% compared to the same period last year, when 515 flights were operated.

Obviously, this figure is far from the pre-pandemic level of 804 movements during the same period in 2019. This is not surprising, given the ongoing Ukrainian crisis.

Below is a list of data from the last four weeks, which shows mostly single-digit declines as opposed to the major double-digit decline we saw last week:

Date 2021 numbers 2022 numbers Percentage difference
September 3-10 581 moves 534 moves -8.09%
September 10-17 566 moves 527 moves -6.89%
September 17-24 568 moves 521 moves -8.27%
September 24-October 1 551 movements 497 moves -9.80%
From this data, you can see that the drop in the number of movements started between September 24 and October 1, and worsened from October 1 to October 8, 2022.

What you can also see in the chart is that for a period the carrier was on course to hit 2021 numbers, which showed a layer of consistency across the board over the past few periods. of the summer 2022 season.

However, as winter approaches, we can probably expect the movement count to deteriorate.

Double…


Despite falling numbers, the Russian carrier is doubling down on expansion, with the airline placing $16 billion for 339 planes at the start of last month.

It will not be surprising to read that the order was placed with United Aircraft Corporation; UAC is a 92% subsidiary of a Russian public airline, Rostec.

The aircraft order consists of 210 MC-21, a single-aisle variant manufactured by Irkut, 40 Tupolev Tu-214 and 89 Sukhoi Superjet-NEW.

The record deal which is valued at one trillion rubles in local currency far exceeds Aeroflot’s current fleet size of just 183 aircraft.

Producing these planes will initially be expensive as companies continue to source components from Russia, which they previously sourced from the West following sanctions imposed by the rest of the world in early 2022.

The government will help cover the initial costs of the aircraft from the federal budget, but as production increases, these subsidies will be reduced.

Deliveries of the aircraft will begin in 2023, with the two Superjets, then 7 Tupolevs and 6 MC-21-310s to come in 2024. The narrow-body MC-21 is expected to become Aeroflot’s flagship as they loose western manufacturers.

Director General Sergei Aleksandrovsky said defiantly: “By signing this agreement, we are signaling to the whole world that Russia is a great aviation power with enormous potential and rich experience in aircraft production, capable of manufacturing reliable aircraft. and modern”.

Christi C. Elwood